Brent Guerra!!!!!

Disaster for the Match-Fixers this week with way too many poor scores from big players - currently 448 points behind D-Rat!!! Aaarghhhh!!!!!!! But the worse thing is the news from Aurora in Tassie where the Hawks scraped past the Power. My star backmen, Brent Guerra, started awesomely with 30 in the first quarter but right at the end disaster struck. It was as if the god’s of Footy looked down on me and said ‘YOU SHALL NOT WIN”. Guerra did a hammy and it looks bad as he didn’t return - they reckon 2-4 weeks!!!! Doctor DJ will have more info this week, but it certainly gives me a lot of headaches as Guerra is averaging 89 this year.

Do I trade? Keep him? Big Questions that must be answered!!!

Does anyone else have him? In my situation???? Truely has been a shithouse Saturday!!!!

Collingwood V St Kilda Wrap Up

Collingwood have got up to win at the Telstra Dome tonight over St Kilda 16.7.103 to 14.10.94, it was a game Collingwood were expected to win however something that was not so ’suspected were some of the Dream Team Scores….there were some surprise packages, there were some absolute shockers.

For Collingwood, Scott Burns 114, Leon Davis 111, Scott Pendlebury 116, Rhyce Shaw 103, Dane Swan 114 and Dale Thomas 97 all dominated however on the downside, Travis Cloke 44, Anthony Rocca 44 and DT Gun Heath Shaw 40!!! all had shockers.

The Saints had Luke Ball 115, Nick Dal Santo 116, Sam Fisher 113 and Lenny Hayes 124 fire up despite defeat however some players lost not only the game but also alot of Dream Team Street Cred; Jason Blake 27, Raphael Clarke 34, Charlie Gardiner 30, Fraser Gehrig 37 (he didnt have any DT Street Cred to start with) and Steven King suffered both losses.

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Blast From The Past - Jonathan Brown

Dream Team for Dummies: Round 8

Sometimes when we select players at the start of the year, we jump the gun and chuck a player in whatever position we feel like without thinking of the consequences. If there is a gun player who is classed as a backliner as well as a midfielder you should always select them as a backliner, it is a schoolboy error not to.

This is because the backline is one of the weaker sections to the dream team field even though you must select 7 players compared to the centre line of 6 players. With so much great players in the centre but limited spots, you want to make sure you can select your players the most effective way possible in the centre and having a backliner/centre or forward/centre in your midfield is not the greatest way in doing so.

Players such as Jake King and Chad Cornes which can be found in the backline and midfield, should be chosen in the backline to free up room in the middle and fill up room in the backline, as we all know this year hasn’t been the year of the DT backman. If you have the chance to purchase a midfield/backline player who racks up touches like a seedy computer technician, chuck him in the backline to avoid disappointment

Pom’s Third Year Rule

At the start of the Dream Team year, so many questions cross ones mind about choosing the best 30 players possible. With a salary cap, we cant pick all our dream players, there is a tight budget when selecting, so how do we know which cheaper players to choose who will greatly improve throughout the year and end up as a great buy. Well its simple, the Third Year Rule.

The third year rule was discovered by and Englishman many ages ago. The Englishman, or as he was more commonly known as ‘Pom’ was searching for the ultimate formula for Dream Team success. His quest to find the formula for success was a long tiresome one, which constantly fell short. At times the Pom felt as though his quest for the ultimate dream team formula was nearly as pointless as putting Mark Nicoski as captain. When Pom thought all hope was lost, he came across an interesting statistic between a few players which he found on fanfooty. As he searched other players he found they also encompassed the same trait, the Pom got excited, he searched more and more to find that nearly every player had this same statistical aspect as the next. Pom had found it, he had found the secret formula to dream team success, and Pom’s Third Year Rule was born.

In its basic principle, the third year rule means that a football player in their third year of AFL will provide astounding DT scores in comparison to the previous two years. The third year is seen as the year in which the players begin their DT success, this is sensational as they are normally reasonably cheap due to the two years before them of average scores. I believe out of the entire AFL competition, 95% of players sufficiently improve their DT scores in their third year of footy. Players who have held this truly include,

 

Chris Judd- The superstar averaged 64 in his first year, 75 in his second and 85 in his third. His price would have been floating under the 300k mark before his third year and in his third year would have finished around 360k. Not to mention he also won a little award in his third year called the Brownlow Medal, apparently its a big deal in the footballing world.

Jimmy Bartel- Another brownlow medalist who kick started their career by stunning third year. His first year he averaged 49, second he averaged 50 and in that premium third year averaged 93!

Steve Johnson- averaged 61 in his first year, dropped to 58 in the second but the third year rule prevailed once more with him averaging 74.

Nick Malceski- The sydney young gun averaged a measly 24 from 5 games in his first year, averaged a 59 out of 17 games in his second and took it to the next level in his third year with an average of 87 from 23 games.

Brock Mclean- averaged 41 in his first, 64 in the second and what do you know a whopping 92 in the third year of his AFL career.

Jed Adcock- 33 in his first, 55 in the second year and a nice 81 in the third.

Mark Blake- Thats right even the big dud Blakey applies to the rule with a 26, 36 and then 52.

Lance ‘Buddy’ Franklin- The superstar had an average of 51 in his first year, 57 in his second and 80 in his third. He will be able to thank his third year efforts when he is accepting one of his 56 future coleman medals.

Jordan Lewis- 61 not bad, 75 getting warmer, third year 95 that’s the spot!

Travis Cloke- Pulls an average of 20 in his first, follows with a 56 and then third year hits its with 78.

Chris Knights- first 20, second 50, third what do you know plucks an average of  88 out there.

Marc Murphy- averages 75 in his first year, deja vu in his second year with another ave of 75 and then his third year BANG average of 100 so far this year.

Garrick Ibbotson- decides not to play in his first year, averages a measly 37 and then this year hello 72.

If you go back of the past years of AFL you will notice the trend in the great rise of DT scores and games played in the third year, but what does this mean for the future? well it means maybe you should think of some of these guys heading into their third years next year.

Joel Selwood- This future legend form geelong had a stunning debut averaging 86 last year, his form has dropped slightly so far averaging 78 which means his price has dropped a tad as well. Come round 1 next year have him in your side he will be an absolute DT king next year, and his price should be alright as well.

Bryce Gibbs- Averaged 58 last year, already brought that up to 80 this year. Expect him to follow in the footsteps of marc murphy and average around 100 next year, this number 1 draft pick will not disappoint.

Travis Boak- Averaged 63 last year and averaging 74 this year, he will be a gun for sure, port could do with an up and coming midfield star and this is the bloke to deliver.

Keep your eye open for next season on those drafted in the 2006 draft to follow the legendary Pom’s Third Year Rule

Thank you.

AFL Teams Round 8 2008

Here are the AFL Team for Round 8 as announced on afl.com.au today. Interesting Selections or drops are highlighted in bold text. Enjoy!….

ST KILDA
B: Leigh Fisher, Max Hudghton, Sean Dempster
HB: Jason Gram, Sam Fisher, Brendon Goddard
C: Nick Dal Santo, Luke Ball, Leigh Montagna
HF: Adam Schneider, Charlie Gardiner, David Armitage
F: Fraser Gehrig, Justin Koschitzke, Stephen Milne
Foll: Steven King, Lenny Hayes, Robert Harvey
I/C: Michael Gardiner, Jason Blake, Shane Birss, Raphael Clarke
EMG: Matthew Ferguson, Jarryn Geary, Andrew McQualter
In: Blake, L Fisher, King, Hudghton
Out: Nick Riewoldt (knee), Xavier Clarke (hamstring), Matt Maguire (foot), Steven Baker (knee)

Steven King Inclusion could provide that number 2 ruck position for alot of Dream Teams.

COLLINGWOOD
B: Heath Shaw, Shane Wakelin, Rhyce Shaw
HB: Nick Maxwell, Nathan Brown, Heritier O’Brien
C: Scott Pendlebury, Scott Burns, Tarkyn Lockyer
HF: Alan Didak, Anthony Rocca, Paul Medhurst
F: Dane Swan, Travis Cloke, Dale Thomas
Foll: Chris Bryan, Shane O’Bree, Leon Davis
I/C: Martin Clarke, Ben Johnson, Sharrod Wellingham, Cameron Wood
EMG: Ryan Cook, Tyson Goldsack, Ryan Lonie
In: Bryan, Rocca, Wellingham
Out: Josh Fraser (knee), Ryan Cook, Tyson Goldsack

The news no-one wanted to hear,  Josh Fraser has been given another week to get himself right.

 

HAWTHORN
B: Brent Guerra, Stephen Gilham, Rick Ladson
HB: Campbell Brown, Trent Croad, Grant Birchall
C: Jordan Lewis, Sam Mitchell, Chance Bateman
HF: Mark Williams, Lance Franklin, Clinton Young
F: Michael Osborne, Jarryd Roughead, Cyril Rioli
Foll: Robert Campbell, Brad Sewell, Shane Crawford
I/C: Stuart Dew, Xavier Ellis, Ben McGlynn, Simon Taylor
EMG: Tim Clarke, Josh Kennedy, Cameron Stokes
In: Bateman
Out: Luke Hodge (hamstring)

 

PORT ADELAIDE
B: Michael Pettigrew, Alipate Carlile, Jacob Surjan
HB: Peter Burgoyne, Toby Thurstans, Dom Cassisi
C: Travis Boak, Adam Thomson, Kane Cornes
HF: David Rodan, Warren Tredrea, Brett Ebert
F: Daniel Motlop, Justin Westhoff, Brendon Lade
Foll: Dean Brogan, Steven Salopek, Shaun Burgoyne
I/C: Troy Chaplin, Danyle Pearce, Tom Logan, Robert Gray
EMG: Paul Stewart, Damon White, Nick Lower
No changes

Still No Chad Cornes…

RICHMOND
B: Luke McGuane, Will Thursfield, Jake King
HB: Chris Newman, Graham Polak, Kelvin Moore
C: Matthew Richardson, Shane Tuck, Joel Bowden
HF: Matt White, Jack Riewoldt, Mitch Morton
F: Richard Tambling, Brett Deledio, Nathan Brown
Foll: Troy Simmonds, Kane Johnson, Nathan Foley
I/C: Jordan McMahon, Chris Hyde, Shane Edwards, Adam Pattison
EMG: Jay Schulz, Trent Cotchin, Jarrad Oakley-Nicholls
In: Bowden, Polak
Out: Jackson, Schulz

Huge in this one Joel Bowden is welcomed back into the team after being dropped to refind his form in the VFL, which will make alot of Dream Team Coaches very happy!

GEELONG
B: Tom Harley, Matthew Scarlett, Josh Hunt
HB: Darren Milburn, Harry Taylor, Corey Enright
C: Cameron Ling, Joel Selwood, Jimmy Bartel
HF Steve Johnson, Cameron Mooney, Paul Chapman
F: James Kelly, Tom Hawkins, Ryan Gamble
Foll: Mark Blake, Gary Ablett, Joel Corey
I/C: Shane Mumford, Andrew Mackie, Max Rooke, David Wojcinski
EMG: Brent Prismall, Travis Varcoe, Shannon Byrnes
In: G Ablett
Out: Stokes (suspended)

As suspected by Dream Team Couch earlier today Gary Ablett has been named to play!

CARLTON
B: Jarrad Waite, Michael Jamison, Kade Simpson
HB: Andrew Carrazzo, Paul Bower, Shaun Grigg
C: Heath Scotland, Richard Hadley, Jordan Russell
HF: Bryce Gibbs, Brad Fisher, Marc Murphy
F: Eddie Betts, Brendan Fevola, Setanta O’hAilpin
Foll: Cain Ackland, Nick Stevens, Chris Judd
I/C: Adam Bentick, Steven Browne, Matthew Kreuzer, Simon Wiggins
EMG: Mark Austin, David Ellard, Shaun Hampson
In: Ackland, Hadley
Out: Cameron Cloke (wrist), David Ellard

 

 

BRISBANE LIONS
B: Josh Drummond, Daniel Merrett, Joel Patfull
HB: Jared Brennan, Joel Macdonald, Jason Roe
C: Anthony Corrie, Simon Black, Tim Notting
HF: Michael Rischitelli, Jonathan Brown, Justin Sherman
F: Rhan Hooper, Daniel Bradshaw, Travis Johnstone
Foll: Jamie Charman, Luke Power, Jed Adcock
I/C: Scott Harding, Mitch Clark, Troy Selwood, Ashley McGrath
EMG: James Polkinghorne, Matthew Leuenberger, Cheynee Stiller
In: Jason Roe, Josh Drummond, Travis Johnstone, Simon Black, Jonathan Brown
Out: Matthew Leuenberger, Lachlan Henderson, Cheynee Stiller, Albert Proud, Robert Copeland

Three big ins for Brisbane with Travis Johnstone, Simon Black and Jonathan brown all being named in the starting 18, however you can’t just bring three gun players in and not expect to lose anyone, young up and coming ruckman, and a member of alot of Dream Teams, Matthew Luenberger has been left out of the side.

 

 

NORTH MELBOURNE
B: Michael Firrito, Shannon Watt, Josh Gibson
HB: Ed Lower, Drew Petrie, Leigh Harding
C: Matt Riggio, Daniel Wells, Brady Rawlings
HF: Lindsay Thomas, Nathan Thompson, Alan Obst
F: Matt Campbell, Corey Jones, Scott McMahon
Foll: Hamish McIntosh, Daniel Harris, Brent Harvey
I/C: Sam Power, Shannon Grant, Adam Simpson, David Hale
EMG: Jess Sinclair, Ben Davies, Josh Smith
In: Riggio, Gibson, Obst, McMahon
Out: Pratt (groin), Brown, S Thompson, Josh Smith
New: Alan Obst (Central Districts)

 

WESTCOAST
B: Brett Jones, Darren Glass, Will Schofield
HB: Mark Nicoski, Jamie Graham, Adam Selwood
C: Andrew Embley, Matt Priddis, Matt Rosa
HF: Chad Fletcher, Josh Kennedy, Brad Ebert
F: David Wirrpanda, Quinten Lynch, Mark Seaby
Foll: Dean Cox, Tyson Stenglein, Chris Masten
I/C: Michael Braun, Ryan Davis, Ben McKinley, Brent Staker
EMG: Steven Armstrong, Scott Selwood, Beau Wilkes
In: Davis, Priddis, Seaby, Staker
Out: Chad Jones (ankle), Beau Waters (thigh), Jamie McNamara (thigh), Steven Armstrong
New: Ryan Davis (NorthShore, NSW)

Good to see Young Gun Priddis back, however Beau Waters who has been heavily selected by DT Coaches will miss this week with a thigh injury.

 

 

ADELAIDE
B: Graham Johncock, Ben Rutten, Nathan Bassett
HB: Michael Doughty, Nathan Bock, Scott Stevens
C: David Mackay, Scott Thompson, Nathan van Berlo
HF: Simon Goodwin, Brett Burton, Bernie Vince
F: Jason Porplyzia, Kurt Tippett, Chris Knights
Foll: Jonathon Griffin, Andrew McLeod, Tyson Edwards
I/C (from): Kris Massie, Jarrhan Jacky, Robert Shirley, Ken McGregor, Ivan Maric, Luke Jericho, Brent Reilly
In: Jericho, Maric, McGregor, Reilly, Rutten
Out: Richard Douglas (knee), James Sellar

MELBOURNE
B: James  Frawley, Colin Garland, Daniel Bell
HB: Clint Bartram, Jared Rivers, Cameron Bruce
C: Brad Green, Brock McLean, Matthew Bate
HF: Cale Morton, Russell Robertson, Brent Moloney
F: Aaron Davey, Brad Miller, Austin Wonaeamirri
Foll: Jeff White, James McDonald, Nathan Jones
I/C (from): Jace Bode, Simon Buckley, Nathan Carroll, Mark Jamar, Paul Johnson, Shane Valenti, Matthew Warnock
In: Buckley, Bode, Johnson, Valenti
Out: Wheatley (calf)
New: Shane Valenti (Sandringham)

 

 

Shane Valenti has been elevated off the rookie list and named on the interchange bench for Melbourne’s initial 25 man squad, if he plays it will be his debut and he can be picked up cheap at $72 in DT.

SYDNEY SWANS
B: Tadhg Kennelly, Leo Barry, Martin Mattner
HB: Craig Bolton, Ted Richards, Kieren Jack
C: Jarrad McVeigh, Brett Kirk, Amon Buchanan
HF: Ryan O’Keefe, Lewis Roberts-Thomson, Jarred Moore
F: Paul Bevan, Michael O’Loughlin, Peter Everitt
Foll: Darren Jolly, Adam Goodes, Jude Bolton
I/C (from): Luke Ablett, Ed Barlow, Craig Bird, Luke Brennan, Nick Malceski, Henry Playfair, Nick Smith
In: Ablett, Brennan, Malceski, Smith
Out: Ben Mathews

Malceski has been amazingly named, in the 25 man squad, not too sure if he’ll play though after coaches saying he’ll play reseves all week.

ESSENDON
B: Darcy Daniher, Mal Michael, Dustin Fletcher
HB: David Myers, Patrick Ryder, Kyle Reimers
C: Brent Stanton, Jobe Watson, Henry Slattery
HF: Sam Lonergan, Jay Neagle, Leroy Jetta
F: Bachar Houli, Matthew Lloyd, Jason Laycock
Foll: David Hille, Andrew Lovett, Mark McVeigh
I/C (from): Ricky Dyson, Tom Hislop, Courtney Johns, Angus Monfries, Adam Ramanauskas, Andrew Welsh, Jason Winderlich
In: Fletcher, Laycock, Lonergan, McVeigh, Ramanauskas, Reimers, Winderlich
Out: Atkinson, Lovett-Murray (suspended), McPhee (suspended), Nash

FREMANTLE
B: Roger Hayden, Luke McPharlin, Paul Duffield
HB: Steven Dodd, Michael Johnson, Scott Thornton
C: David Mundy, Rhys Palmer, Garrick Ibbotson
HF: Shaun McManus, Chris Tarrant, Dean Solomon
F: Jeff Farmer, Matthew Pavlich, Marcus Drum
Foll: Aaron Sandilands, Ryan Crowley, Peter Bell
I/C (from): Kepler Bradley, Robert Warnock, Adam Campbell, Byron Schammer, Brett Peake, Andrew Foster, Heath Black
In: Bradley, Warnock, Campbell, Hayden, Peake, Duffield, Black
Out: Mark Johnson (suspended), Daniel Gilmore, Brock O’Brien, Ryan Murphy

 

WESTERN BULLDOGS
B: Dale Morris, BrianLake, Tim Callan
HB: Ryan Hargrave, Cameron Wight, Lindsay Gilbee
C: Nathan Eagleton, Matthew Boyd, Daniel Cross
HF: Brad Johnson, Mitch Hahn, Robert Murphy
F: Scott Welsh, Will Minson, Jason Akermanis
Foll: Ben Hudson, Ryan Griffen, Adam Cooney
I/C (from): Dylan Addison, Daniel Giansiracusa, Josh Hill, Farren Ray, Wayde Skipper, Stephen Tiller, Callan Ward
In: Ray, Skipper, Ward
Out: -

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Gary Ablett ‘likely’ to play in Round 8

Geelong Star Gary Ablett is now ‘likely to play against the tigers on Saturday after getting through yesterday’s training session withought any problems. Geelong’s operations manager said that all he has to do is get through Fridays session and an all-clear from the cats medical staff and he will be right to play. Great News for any Cats fan and or person who has him in there dream team.

Blast From The Past - Tony Lockett